Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Wallmark 50.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.8%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 57.0%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 54.7%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hayes
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
16
(33 meetings)
17
16
Hayes
Wallmark
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
4
Hayes
Wallmark
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
4
8
Hayes
Wallmark
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
4
Hayes
Wallmark
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.5% (1,852)
-3.0%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
56.3% (103)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
44.9% (216)
+0.4%
On power play, Wallmark has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Hayes
Wallmark
Home
48.1% (3,982)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Hayes
Wallmark
P1
47.5%
51.4%
P2
47.6%
50.8%
P3
47.9%
48.7%
OT
54.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |