Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Arcobello 50.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Arcobello leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Arcobello 59.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 66.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Hayes
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Hayes
Arcobello
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Arcobello
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Arcobello
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
3
7
Hayes
Arcobello
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.6% (1,408)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
60.8% (130)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
36.8% (57)
+8.5%
On power play, Arcobello has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Hayes
Arcobello
Home
48.1% (3,982)
53.2% (745)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Hayes
Arcobello
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
47.6%
51.3%
P3
47.9%
48.4%
OT
54.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |