Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Hanzal 56.0% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 76.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 76.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 76.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Hayes
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hayes
Hanzal
Last 7: Hayes 2-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
3
Hayes
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Hayes
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Hanzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
57.1% (1,059)
-11.7%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
60.0% (175)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
45.2% (126)
+0.0%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hayes shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hanzal
Home
46.6% (459)
57.6% (682)
Away
44.8% (509)
55.2% (678)
By Period
Hayes
Hanzal
P1
43.0%
57.8%
P2
49.5%
57.8%
P3
44.7%
53.7%
OT
28.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |