Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 74.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Hayes
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Hayes
Hanzal
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
4
Hayes
Hanzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
Hayes
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Hanzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
54.0% (5,547)
-6.5%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
56.7% (1,179)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
46.0% (644)
-0.7%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hanzal
Home
48.1% (3,982)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Hayes
Hanzal
P1
47.5%
54.9%
P2
47.6%
53.6%
P3
47.9%
52.4%
OT
54.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |