Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Domi 48.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 71.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Hayes
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Hayes
Domi
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
11
Hayes
Domi
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
4
Hayes
Domi
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Hayes
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
48.1% (4,296)
-0.6%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
53.4% (633)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
48.8% (41)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Hayes
Domi
Home
48.1% (3,982)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Hayes
Domi
P1
47.5%
48.7%
P2
47.6%
48.3%
P3
47.9%
49.8%
OT
54.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |