Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Domi 50.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hayes
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Hayes
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
49.7% (499)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
56.8% (44)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Hayes
Domi
Home
50.5% (200)
51.0% (298)
Away
53.4% (253)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Hayes
Domi
P1
58.8%
54.8%
P2
49.3%
48.9%
P3
48.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Max Domi |