Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Shore 54.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.7%
Defensive zone
Shore 83.5%
Neutral zone
Shore 60.8%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Hayes
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hayes
Shore
Last 7: Hayes 4-3 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Shore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
0
2
Hayes
Shore
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Shore
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
55.6% (295)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
54.2% (83)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Shore has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Shore is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Hayes
Shore
Home
52.0% (404)
57.9% (221)
Away
48.6% (422)
51.6% (159)
By Period
Hayes
Shore
P1
50.7%
59.2%
P2
50.2%
43.5%
P3
49.8%
62.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 2, 2019 | OT | 04:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |