Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Shore 50.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 61.2%
Defensive zone
Shore 79.4%
Neutral zone
Shore 73.9%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Hayes
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayes
Shore
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Shore
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Shore
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Shore
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
51.8% (2,455)
-4.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
56.3% (64)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
43.1% (297)
+2.2%
On power play, Shore has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Shore is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,965).
Home / Away
Hayes
Shore
Home
48.1% (3,982)
52.0% (1,391)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
49.9% (1,425)
By Period
Hayes
Shore
P1
47.5%
50.6%
P2
47.6%
51.2%
P3
47.9%
50.7%
OT
54.1%
73.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 2, 2019 | OT | 04:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |