Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Acciari 51.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 76.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Hayes
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Hayes
Acciari
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
7
Hayes
Acciari
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
52.8% (3,276)
-5.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
48.2% (85)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
47.1% (1,061)
-1.8%
On even strength, Acciari has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Hayes
Acciari
Home
48.1% (3,982)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Hayes
Acciari
P1
47.5%
52.2%
P2
47.6%
51.5%
P3
47.9%
50.5%
OT
54.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |