Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Acciari 53.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 76.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 85.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 85.8%
14.2%
85.8%
Hayes
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hayes
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Hayes
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
55.6% (426)
+1.0%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
0.0% (2)
+57.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
52.1% (146)
+13.6%
On power play, Hayes has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Hayes
Acciari
Home
58.0% (405)
55.2% (306)
Away
56.1% (433)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Hayes
Acciari
P1
54.7%
55.5%
P2
55.7%
54.3%
P3
60.2%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |