Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Acciari 47.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 64.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 71.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Hayes
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayes
Acciari
Last 5: Hayes 3-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
37.0% (27)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
50.0% (2)
-4.8%
On even strength, Hayes has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Hayes shoots left. Acciari is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Hayes
Acciari
Home
46.6% (459)
40.9% (22)
Away
44.8% (509)
28.6% (7)
By Period
Hayes
Acciari
P1
43.0%
0.0%
P2
49.5%
35.7%
P3
44.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |