Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Patrick 48.9% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Patrick 54.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Hayes
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
47.4% (156)
-4.7%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
56.3% (16)
-13.4%
On power play, Patrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Hayes
Patrick
Home
43.5% (232)
43.8% (96)
Away
42.4% (375)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Hayes
Patrick
P1
40.1%
44.4%
P2
44.8%
45.6%
P3
42.4%
56.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%