Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Elias 42.7% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 57.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 55.2%
Neutral zone
Elias 55.8%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Hayes
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayes
Elias
Last 5: Hayes 2-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Hayes
Elias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Hayes
Elias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
42.3% (2,591)
+5.2%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
48.4% (405)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
36.0% (367)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Hayes
Elias
Home
48.1% (3,982)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Hayes
Elias
P1
47.5%
41.1%
P2
47.6%
43.1%
P3
47.9%
43.0%
OT
54.1%
43.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |