Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Faksa 53.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.5%
Defensive zone
Faksa 62.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 56.6%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Hayes
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayes
Faksa
Last 6: Hayes 2-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
3
Hayes
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
56.4% (401)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
77.8% (9)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
45.5% (110)
+20.2%
On power play, Faksa has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Hayes
Faksa
Home
58.0% (405)
49.0% (249)
Away
56.1% (433)
59.4% (271)
By Period
Hayes
Faksa
P1
54.7%
58.2%
P2
55.7%
53.6%
P3
60.2%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |