Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Kupari 50.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.5%
Defensive zone
Kupari 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hayes
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayes
Kupari
Last 6: Hayes 3-3 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Hayes
Kupari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Kupari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
2
Hayes
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.5% (1,275)
-3.0%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
43.5% (23)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
50.4% (139)
-5.1%
On power play, Hayes has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kupari
Home
48.1% (3,982)
51.4% (782)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Hayes
Kupari
P1
47.5%
49.9%
P2
47.6%
48.5%
P3
47.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |