Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Kupari 47.9% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 51.7%
Defensive zone
Kupari 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kupari 53.3%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Hayes
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayes
Kupari
Last 6: Hayes 3-3 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Hayes
Kupari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Kupari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
2
Hayes
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
47.2% (144)
+9.4%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
0.0% (1)
+57.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
45.5% (22)
+20.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Kupari is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kupari
Home
58.0% (405)
48.3% (87)
Away
56.1% (433)
45.0% (80)
By Period
Hayes
Kupari
P1
54.7%
48.5%
P2
55.7%
41.3%
P3
60.2%
49.1%
Final 5 min
58.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |