Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Nash 48.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 56.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hayes
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
18
(39 meetings)
21
18
Hayes
Nash
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
2
Hayes
Nash
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
5
Hayes
Nash
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
7
11
Hayes
Nash
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
48.7% (4,621)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
51.0% (249)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
44.9% (550)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Hayes shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nash
Home
48.1% (3,982)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Hayes
Nash
P1
47.5%
49.0%
P2
47.7%
47.9%
P3
47.9%
48.0%
OT
54.1%
68.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Riley Nash |