Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Nash 51.7% (-9.3%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 72.3%
Defensive zone
Nash 74.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hayes
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
54.1% (292)
-11.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
57.1% (7)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
45.9% (98)
-0.7%
On power play, Nash has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nash
Home
43.5% (232)
56.3% (183)
Away
42.4% (375)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Hayes
Nash
P1
40.1%
58.9%
P2
44.8%
51.0%
P3
42.4%
46.5%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%