Scouting Report
Ryan Spooner holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayes wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Spooner 46.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 61.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Hayes
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayes
Spooner
Last 6: Hayes 2-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
2
4
Hayes
Spooner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
44.8% (212)
-7.7%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
66.7% (6)
-34.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Spooner has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Hayes shoots left. Spooner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Hayes
Spooner
Home
36.7% (354)
45.8% (107)
Away
35.8% (327)
45.1% (113)
By Period
Hayes
Spooner
P1
33.6%
50.0%
P2
38.3%
41.7%
P3
37.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
39.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |