Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Spooner 43.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Spooner leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spooner 78.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.0%
Neutral zone
Spooner 61.3%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Hayes
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Hayes
Spooner
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Spooner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
2
Hayes
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
2
5
Hayes
Spooner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
43.1% (1,540)
+4.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
46.3% (67)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
42.1% (19)
+3.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Hayes
Spooner
Home
48.1% (3,982)
43.9% (779)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Hayes
Spooner
P1
47.5%
45.0%
P2
47.6%
46.2%
P3
47.9%
38.2%
OT
54.1%
35.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |