Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.1%). Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Gomez 48.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Gomez leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 54.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 71.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Hayes
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Hayes
Gomez
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
5
Hayes
Gomez
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Gomez
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
3
7
Hayes
Gomez
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
47.9% (2,814)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
50.6% (516)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
36.5% (74)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gomez
Home
48.1% (3,982)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Hayes
Gomez
P1
47.5%
48.6%
P2
47.6%
48.2%
P3
47.9%
47.5%
OT
54.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |