Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Oshie 46.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 78.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 89.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Hayes
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
9
(28 meetings)
19
9
Hayes
Oshie
Last 10: Hayes 9-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
7
Hayes
Oshie
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
16
1
Hayes
Oshie
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
45.2% (764)
+2.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
47.7% (1,221)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
40.2% (164)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Hayes shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Hayes
Oshie
Home
48.1% (3,982)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Hayes
Oshie
P1
47.5%
47.3%
P2
47.7%
45.2%
P3
47.9%
46.7%
OT
54.1%
40.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |