Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.8% vs 42.6%). Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Oshie 45.4% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 76.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 77.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hayes
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
57.7% (26)
-15.0%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
41.3% (138)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
0.0% (5)
+45.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Hayes
Oshie
Home
43.5% (232)
41.0% (78)
Away
42.4% (375)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Hayes
Oshie
P1
40.1%
42.6%
P2
44.8%
41.9%
P3
42.4%
41.8%
OT
80.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%