Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Oshie 48.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 70.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 92.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 68.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Hayes
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Hayes
Oshie
Last 7: Hayes 6-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Hayes
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
0
Hayes
Oshie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
43.1% (58)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
50.3% (143)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
40.0% (10)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Hayes is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Hayes shoots left. Oshie is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Hayes
Oshie
Home
50.0% (586)
51.8% (110)
Away
51.1% (526)
43.6% (101)
By Period
Hayes
Oshie
P1
52.3%
47.7%
P2
52.3%
46.5%
P3
47.3%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
50.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |