Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Oshie 48.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 68.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 75.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 58.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Hayes
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayes
Oshie
Last 5: Hayes 4-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
43.3% (127)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
51.7% (151)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
50.0% (12)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. Oshie is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Hayes
Oshie
Home
50.6% (237)
42.1% (164)
Away
47.3% (241)
55.6% (126)
By Period
Hayes
Oshie
P1
43.9%
44.7%
P2
47.3%
47.8%
P3
55.9%
52.1%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |