Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Brouwer 47.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 57.4%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 58.4%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 58.3%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Hayes
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayes
Brouwer
Last 5: Hayes 1-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Hayes
Brouwer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Brouwer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Hayes
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
46.5% (99)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
56.0% (25)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
44.1% (93)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Hayes is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Hayes shoots left. Brouwer is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Hayes
Brouwer
Home
50.0% (586)
47.7% (111)
Away
51.1% (526)
45.3% (106)
By Period
Hayes
Brouwer
P1
52.3%
50.8%
P2
52.3%
50.0%
P3
47.3%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |