Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Hayes
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hayes
Brouwer
Last 7: Hayes 1-6 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
3
Hayes
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
2
Hayes
Brouwer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
1
Hayes
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.3% (702)
-2.8%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
53.7% (551)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
46.6% (412)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Hayes
Brouwer
Home
48.1% (3,982)
53.5% (854)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Hayes
Brouwer
P1
47.5%
51.4%
P2
47.6%
49.3%
P3
47.9%
51.2%
OT
54.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |