Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Porter 42.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 80.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 74.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Stepan
Porter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Stepan
Porter
Last 9: Stepan 7-2 Porter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Porter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
1
Stepan
Porter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Porter
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
40.0% (240)
+8.0%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
40.0% (5)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
42.3% (26)
-0.7%
On even strength, Stepan has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Porter shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Porter is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Stepan
Porter
Home
47.4% (460)
41.0% (134)
Away
44.5% (517)
39.4% (137)
By Period
Stepan
Porter
P1
50.3%
37.3%
P2
38.4%
42.7%
P3
49.4%
40.6%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |