Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Porter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Porter wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 41.2% vs Reasoner 53.7% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Porter 60.1%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 58.4%
Neutral zone
Porter 51.3%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Porter
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Porter
Reasoner
Last 7: Porter 3-4 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Porter
Reasoner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Porter
2
1
Porter
Reasoner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
2
Porter
Reasoner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (469)
55.7% (1,642)
-16.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
56.9% (72)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
45.5% (413)
-9.3%
On even strength, Reasoner has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Porter is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Porter shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
Porter
Reasoner
Home
41.6% (274)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
37.3% (260)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Porter
Reasoner
P1
37.1%
53.1%
P2
44.9%
53.1%
P3
36.7%
55.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Kevin Porter |