Scouting Report
Stephen Gionta holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Porter on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Porter wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 41.2% vs Gionta 41.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Porter 56.3%
Defensive zone
Gionta 53.3%
Neutral zone
Gionta 50.7%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Porter
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Porter
Gionta
Last 8: Porter 5-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Porter
1
0
Porter
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
2
Porter
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Porter
4
1
Porter
Gionta
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (469)
40.6% (1,902)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
61.5% (26)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (47)
40.1% (292)
-3.9%
On power play, Gionta has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Porter is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Porter shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Porter
Gionta
Home
41.6% (274)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
37.3% (260)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Porter
Gionta
P1
37.1%
40.8%
P2
44.9%
41.8%
P3
36.7%
39.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 7, 2013 | OT | 01:58 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |