Scouting Report
Kevin Rooney holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rooney wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.9% vs Barzal 44.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 79.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 66.5%
Neutral zone
Rooney 56.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Rooney
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rooney
Barzal
Last 6: Rooney 3-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
3
Rooney
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (378)
43.3% (314)
+3.5%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
45.5% (33)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (48)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
On power play, Barzal has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Rooney is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Rooney shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Rooney
Barzal
Home
48.0% (221)
39.9% (168)
Away
41.9% (217)
46.7% (182)
By Period
Rooney
Barzal
P1
50.0%
39.0%
P2
48.5%
49.1%
P3
34.9%
43.3%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
30.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
45.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |