Scouting Report
Kevin Rooney holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Barzal 42.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 65.8%
Defensive zone
Rooney 77.7%
Neutral zone
Rooney 63.1%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Rooney
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rooney
Barzal
Last 7: Rooney 4-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
3
Rooney
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
0
Rooney
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
41.9% (3,565)
+4.8%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
43.4% (205)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
42.3% (26)
+1.1%
On even strength, Rooney has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Rooney shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Rooney
Barzal
Home
47.4% (1,227)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Rooney
Barzal
P1
48.1%
40.7%
P2
47.1%
44.4%
P3
43.6%
41.0%
OT
12.5%
27.6%
Final 5 min
47.7%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |