Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 67.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 65.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Rooney
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rooney
Monahan
Last 6: Rooney 3-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
0
Rooney
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Rooney
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (367)
51.5% (641)
-6.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
62.8% (129)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
33.3% (9)
+2.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rooney is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Rooney shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Rooney
Monahan
Home
47.5% (219)
53.9% (362)
Away
41.6% (185)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Rooney
Monahan
P1
46.4%
48.0%
P2
46.3%
57.0%
P3
42.0%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |