Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 50.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 69.5%
Neutral zone
Rooney 60.3%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Rooney
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Rooney
Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Rooney
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
48.5% (612)
-1.8%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
28.6% (7)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
46.8% (62)
-3.4%
On power play, Rooney has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Home
47.4% (1,227)
48.6% (319)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Rooney
Ostapchuk
P1
48.1%
48.2%
P2
47.1%
45.8%
P3
43.6%
50.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |