Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 70.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 92.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Gaudette
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Gaudette
Stenlund
Last 8: Gaudette 6-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
56.1% (615)
-10.4%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
53.2% (47)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
52.1% (307)
-2.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Stenlund
Home
48.4% (91)
57.0% (458)
Away
47.4% (133)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Gaudette
Stenlund
P1
45.2%
55.1%
P2
51.9%
53.3%
P3
45.9%
56.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |