Christian Dvorak vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 65.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 85.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 56.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Dvorak
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Dvorak
Stenlund
Last 10: Dvorak 8-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Stenlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
56.1% (615)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
53.2% (47)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
52.1% (307)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stenlund
Home
53.6% (461)
57.0% (458)
Away
52.9% (507)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Dvorak
Stenlund
P1
54.1%
55.1%
P2
52.9%
53.3%
P3
53.8%
56.4%
OT
36.4%
42.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |