Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Stenlund 54.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 77.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 66.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 62.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Drury
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Drury
Stenlund
Last 10: Drury 4-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
6
0
Drury
Stenlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
10
Drury
Stenlund
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
4
1
Drury
Stenlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
55.3% (2,703)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
52.6% (116)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
50.6% (919)
+1.5%
On power play, Drury has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Drury shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
Drury
Stenlund
Home
58.3% (1,212)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Drury
Stenlund
P1
56.0%
56.4%
P2
58.6%
53.3%
P3
57.0%
52.8%
OT
62.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Jack Drury |