Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 60.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 67.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Finley
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Finley
Stenlund
Last 5: Finley 4-1 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
1
0
Finley
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
56.1% (615)
-8.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.2% (47)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
52.1% (307)
+5.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Finley is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Finley shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Finley
Stenlund
Home
50.0% (162)
57.0% (458)
Away
46.2% (117)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Finley
Stenlund
P1
53.2%
55.1%
P2
44.6%
53.3%
P3
49.0%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |