Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.2% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 86.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 54.9%
Neutral zone
McCann 74.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
McCann
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McCann
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
McCann
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
McCann
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (188)
58.6% (797)
-10.2%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
62.5% (24)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
60.5% (233)
-28.8%
On power play, Stenlund has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. McCann is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (76).
McCann shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
McCann
Stenlund
Home
52.8% (125)
58.6% (548)
Away
36.1% (119)
59.7% (506)
By Period
McCann
Stenlund
P1
37.7%
60.2%
P2
50.5%
59.1%
P3
45.2%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
43.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |