Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Boldy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Boldy 48.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Boldy 73.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 97.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 67.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Stenlund
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Stenlund
Boldy
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
2
4
Stenlund
Boldy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
7
0
Stenlund
Boldy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
48.0% (333)
+7.3%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
48.6% (140)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
40.0% (15)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Boldy is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Boldy
Home
54.3% (1,848)
46.9% (277)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
49.3% (211)
By Period
Stenlund
Boldy
P1
56.4%
42.6%
P2
53.3%
52.0%
P3
52.8%
51.5%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |