Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Beniers 49.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 86.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 70.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 55.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Stenlund
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stenlund
Beniers
Last 6: Stenlund 2-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Stenlund
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
48.9% (833)
+7.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
58.3% (36)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
50.0% (32)
+2.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Beniers
Home
57.0% (458)
52.4% (460)
Away
52.6% (511)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Stenlund
Beniers
P1
55.1%
48.4%
P2
53.3%
51.1%
P3
56.4%
47.8%
OT
42.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |