Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Beniers 47.8% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 72.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 94.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 93.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Stenlund
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Stenlund
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
48.3% (1,050)
+10.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
42.9% (105)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
43.6% (39)
+16.9%
On power play, Stenlund has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Beniers
Home
58.6% (548)
48.7% (630)
Away
59.7% (506)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Stenlund
Beniers
P1
60.2%
49.2%
P2
59.1%
45.0%
P3
58.3%
49.3%
OT
58.6%
22.2%
Final 5 min
58.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |