Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs McLeod 63.0% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 75.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 74.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 72.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Stenlund
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Stenlund
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Stenlund
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Stenlund
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
64.8% (509)
-10.4%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
68.4% (19)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
65.3% (124)
-21.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Stenlund
McLeod
Home
50.7% (402)
64.3% (308)
Away
52.0% (433)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Stenlund
McLeod
P1
56.5%
62.9%
P2
52.4%
64.8%
P3
45.2%
67.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |