Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 78.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 58.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 64.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Stenlund
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Stenlund
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
53.4% (770)
+2.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
46.2% (39)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
44.7% (141)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Stenlund shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Home
57.0% (458)
49.0% (429)
Away
52.6% (511)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Stenlund
Zibanejad
P1
55.1%
53.0%
P2
53.3%
51.1%
P3
56.4%
51.0%
OT
42.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |