Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 58.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Last 9: Stenlund 4-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Stenlund
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Stenlund
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
52.9% (870)
+5.7%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
53.5% (43)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
46.2% (143)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Stenlund shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zibanejad
Home
58.6% (548)
55.1% (501)
Away
59.7% (506)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Stenlund
Zibanejad
P1
60.2%
57.5%
P2
59.1%
50.7%
P3
58.3%
47.9%
OT
58.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |