Kevin Stenlund vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Granlund 48.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 72.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 79.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 55.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Stenlund
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Stenlund
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Stenlund
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
48.7% (446)
+7.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
56.6% (99)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
31.1% (61)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Granlund
Home
57.0% (458)
53.3% (255)
Away
52.6% (511)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Stenlund
Granlund
P1
55.1%
51.3%
P2
53.3%
48.8%
P3
56.4%
44.4%
OT
42.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |