Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Acciari 51.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 60.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 61.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Stenlund
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stenlund
Acciari
Last 9: Stenlund 4-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stenlund
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Stenlund
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
52.8% (3,276)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
48.2% (85)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
47.1% (1,061)
+3.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Acciari
Home
54.3% (1,848)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Stenlund
Acciari
P1
56.4%
52.2%
P2
53.3%
51.5%
P3
52.8%
50.5%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |