Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Kupari 52.1% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 71.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 54.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Stenlund
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Stenlund
Kupari
Last 9: Stenlund 5-4 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Stenlund
Kupari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Stenlund
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
2
Stenlund
Kupari
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
53.5% (413)
+5.1%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
0.0% (1)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
48.2% (85)
+12.3%
On power play, Stenlund has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Stenlund shoots right. Kupari is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Kupari
Home
58.6% (548)
52.1% (257)
Away
59.7% (506)
52.9% (242)
By Period
Stenlund
Kupari
P1
60.2%
50.6%
P2
59.1%
53.6%
P3
58.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |