Kevin Stenlund vs Reese Johnson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Johnson 51.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 52.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 54.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.0%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Stenlund
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stenlund
Johnson
Last 5: Stenlund 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Stenlund
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
53.5% (434)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
80.0% (5)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
40.7% (81)
+9.9%
On power play, Johnson has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Johnson is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Johnson
Home
54.3% (1,848)
50.8% (252)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
52.6% (268)
By Period
Stenlund
Johnson
P1
56.4%
52.1%
P2
53.3%
47.4%
P3
52.8%
56.4%
OT
52.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |