Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.9%). Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Johnson 50.8% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 65.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 54.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Stenlund
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
56.9% (51)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
43.3% (30)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. Johnson is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Johnson
Home
50.7% (402)
56.3% (32)
Away
52.0% (433)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Stenlund
Johnson
P1
56.5%
55.6%
P2
52.4%
48.0%
P3
45.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%